Plan · Demand Sensing
Consensus demand with live POS + dealer signal overlay
The Demand Sensing Agent blends statistical, planner, POS and dealer signals into a single consensus with a confidence band, and attributes drivers on every exception.
Agent presence
Diagnosis·Sensing
Demand Sensing Agent
Reconciling W+1..W+13 consensus · POS + dealer overlay
Auto-execute
89%
confidence
- 1 min agoSAP IBPConsensus refresh · +4.1% lift on Aurora EV West region
- 8 min agoo9Forecast bias drift detected · Titan SUV +0.4%
- 22 min agoSAP IBPWMAPE recomputed · 14.2% (baseline 15.6%)
Forecast accuracy · WMAPE
14.2%
target 12% · 12wk
Forecast bias
+3.1%
target ±1.0%
Sources reconciled
5
IBP · Stat · Planner · POS · Dealer
Consensus vs IBP
+4.1%
Aurora EV · W+3..W+8
Aurora EV · 13-week consensus
IBPStatisticalPlannerPOSDealerConsensus
Divergence · consensus − IBP (units)
Live driver attribution
Consensus +8.1% above IBP for Aurora EV — dealer order surge in western region (Q3 EV rebate uptake, +42% MoM reservations).
Forecast exceptions · WMAPE / bias drivers
| Program · Region | Consensus − IBP | Driver attribution | Recommended action |
|---|---|---|---|
Aurora EV Western | +8.1% | Dealer order surge — Q3 EV rebate uptake, 42% MoM lift in West-region reservations | |
Titan SUV Europe | +2.4% | POS momentum sustained past W-6 anchor · UK dealer stock 11d | Monitor |
Vega Sedan APAC | -5.6% | Competitor price cut · Thailand market share slide, dealer sentiment softening | |
Aurora EV North America | +3.9% | Charging-corridor announcement · positive social sentiment (+18pt NPS) | Monitor |
Titan SUV India | -1.8% | Monsoon delay to Northgate → Pune inbound · demand pull unchanged | Monitor |